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The Ophthalmologist / Issues / 2026 / May / Risk Factors of Myopia
Educational Tools & Resources Discussion Voices in the Community

Risk Factors of Myopia

Myopia is surging globally, driven by lifestyle factors, with outdoor time offering key protection

By Aldo Vagge, Carla Lança, Stephanie Kearney, Andrzej Grzybowski 5/14/2026 5 min read

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Objective:

To understand the multifactorial risk factors contributing to the onset and progression of myopia, emphasizing its public health implications.

Key Findings:
  • Global myopia prevalence rose from 23% in 2000 to an estimated 34% in 2020, with projections nearing 50% by 2050, highlighting a growing public health concern.
  • Children with one myopic parent have double the risk of developing myopia; two myopic parents increase the risk fivefold.
  • Each additional diopter-hour of near work per week increases myopia odds by approximately 2%.
  • An additional hour of outdoor activity per day is associated with a 45% reduction in incident myopia.
Interpretation:

The rise in myopia prevalence is driven by a combination of genetic predisposition and environmental factors, particularly educational demands and reduced outdoor activity, necessitating urgent action.

Limitations:
  • Current evidence on the impact of digital screen time on myopia is heterogeneous, indicating a need for further research.
  • Limited understanding of the independent contributions of sleep duration and postural habits.
Conclusion:

Addressing lifestyle factors, particularly increasing outdoor time, is crucial for myopia prevention, especially in children, alongside necessary policy changes.

This content is an AI-generated, fully rewritten summary based on a published scholarly article. It does not reproduce the original text and is not a substitute for the original publication. Readers are encouraged to consult the source for full context, data, and methodology.

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